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V-Lab

Blue Owl Capital Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

26.08%

increased by 4.36%

1 Week

27.65%

increased by 5.93%

1 Month

30.09%

increased by 8.37%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 11:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Blue Owl Capital Corp S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 18, 2019 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5514
5.29***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2258
4.86***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6223
11.80***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-1.6615
-4.42***
γ22.8763
5.09***
γ3-2.4112
-6.06***
γ42.3092
6.19***
γ5-1.5993
-6.25***

Persistence:

0.848

Half-life:

4 days