Blue Owl Capital Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
26.08%
increased by 4.36%
1 Week
27.65%
increased by 5.93%
1 Month
30.09%
increased by 8.37%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 11:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 18, 2019 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5514 | 5.29*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2258 | 4.86*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6223 | 11.80*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | -1.6615 | -4.42*** |
| γ2 | 2.8763 | 5.09*** |
| γ3 | -2.4112 | -6.06*** |
| γ4 | 2.3092 | 6.19*** |
| γ5 | -1.5993 | -6.25*** |
Persistence:
0.848
Half-life:
4 days
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