V-Lab
Blue Owl Capital Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
30.17%
increased by 1.40%
1 Week
30.45%
increased by 1.68%
1 Month
30.89%
increased by 2.12%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 18, 2019 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5465 | 5.27*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2329 | 4.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6105 | 11.19*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | -1.7213 | -4.54*** |
| γ2 | 2.9728 | 5.23*** |
| γ3 | -2.4667 | -6.13*** |
| γ4 | 2.3067 | 6.12*** |
| γ5 | -1.5582 | -6.00*** |
Persistence:
0.843
Half-life:
4 days
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