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V-Lab

Blue Owl Capital Corp AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

25.60%

decreased by 3.71%

1 Week

25.74%

decreased by 3.57%

1 Month

26.16%

decreased by 3.15%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Blue Owl Capital Corp AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 18, 2019 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.49) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0803
7.02***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2171
21.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7381
81.89***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4852
10.11***

Persistence:

0.955

Half-life:

15 days