V-Lab
Blue Owl Capital Corp AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
25.60%
decreased by 3.71%
1 Week
25.74%
decreased by 3.57%
1 Month
26.16%
decreased by 3.15%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 18, 2019 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.49) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0803 | 7.02*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2171 | 21.75*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7381 | 81.89*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.4852 | 10.11*** |
Persistence:
0.955
Half-life:
15 days
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