V-Lab
Blue Owl Capital Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
15.67%
decreased by 0.64%
1 Week
16.90%
increased by 0.59%
1 Month
20.43%
increased by 4.12%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:13 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 18, 2019 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 244% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 244% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1110 | 4.41*** |
| αARCH | 0.1029 | 2.29** |
| βGARCH | 0.7416 | 22.91*** |
| γleverage | 0.2512 | 2.24** |
0.970
Persistence23d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1110 | 4.41*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1029 | 2.29** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7416 | 22.91*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2512 | 2.24** |
Persistence:
0.970
Half-life:
23 days
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