V-Lab
Kelly Services Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
41.22%
decreased by 1.58%
1 Week
41.15%
decreased by 1.65%
1 Month
40.91%
decreased by 1.89%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 38% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1986 | 19.73*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0605 | 14.46*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8967 | 234.61*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0231 | 3.71*** |
Persistence:
0.969
Half-life:
22 days
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