V-Lab
Kelly Services Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
37.35%
decreased by 0.25%
1 Week
37.51%
decreased by 0.09%
1 Month
38.04%
increased by 0.44%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 38% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1957 | 19.65*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0599 | 14.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8979 | 236.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0227 | 3.68*** |
Persistence:
0.969
Half-life:
22 days
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