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V-Lab

Kelly Services Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

37.35%

decreased by 0.25%

1 Week

37.51%

decreased by 0.09%

1 Month

38.04%

increased by 0.44%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kelly Services Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 38% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1957
19.65***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0599
14.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8979
236.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0227
3.68***

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days