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V-Lab

Kelly Services Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

36.51%

decreased by 1.41%

1 Week

38.68%

increased by 0.76%

1 Month

41.62%

increased by 3.70%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kelly Services Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 19% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1088
13.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5605
14.33***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0208
2.30**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.5393
0.29
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3267
0.29
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5889
0.41

Persistence:

0.680

Half-life:

2 days