V-Lab
Kelly Services Inc EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
38.88%
decreased by 1.00%
1 Week
39.12%
decreased by 0.76%
1 Month
40.02%
increased by 0.14%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 88% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0297 | 11.87*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0918 | 22.01*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9869 | 1,002.95*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0279 | -7.60*** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
53 days
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