V-Lab
Kelly Services Inc Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
35.05%
decreased by 2.81%
1 Week
33.37%
decreased by 4.49%
1 Month
29.35%
decreased by 8.51%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 11% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.81 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1058 | 23.35*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2307 | 67.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7396 | 183.39*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0661 | 11.07*** |
δ power Transformation power | 0.8137 | 20.40*** |
Persistence:
0.923
Half-life:
9 days
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