V-Lab
Kelly Services Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
35.14%
decreased by 2.54%
1 Week
35.73%
decreased by 1.95%
1 Month
37.63%
decreased by 0.05%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 29% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2317 | 35.24*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1866 | 41.87*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7565 | 217.08*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0544 | 6.84*** |
Persistence:
0.970
Half-life:
23 days
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