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V-Lab

Millennium GP International Hlngs Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

94.79%

decreased by 11.70%

1 Week

107.26%

increased by 0.77%

1 Month

146.92%

increased by 40.43%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Millennium GP International Hlngs Ltd AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 4, 2023 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
7.73***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4006
10.50***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6569
46.69***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1149
-1.74*

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days