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V-Lab

Millennium GP International Hlngs Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

95.13%

increased by 11.40%

1 Week

99.66%

increased by 15.93%

1 Month

107.53%

increased by 23.80%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Millennium GP International Hlngs Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 4, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.89 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

51.0974
3.55***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2236
11.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8685
23.85***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.8920
10.47***

Persistence:

0.868

Half-life:

5 days