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Onterris Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

69.03%

decreased by 7.98%

1 Week

67.59%

decreased by 9.42%

1 Month

65.65%

decreased by 11.36%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 11:53 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Onterris Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 23, 2020 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.42 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-lifev = 4.42 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst16.5627
1.94*
αARCH0.0813
1.08
βGARCH0.7958
5.37***
νDF4.4237
0.38

0.796

Persistence

3d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

16.5627
1.94*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0813
1.08
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7958
5.37***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.4237
0.38

Persistence:

0.796

Half-life:

3 days