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Onterris Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

56.89%

increased by 3.03%

1 Week

59.44%

increased by 5.58%

1 Month

62.61%

increased by 8.75%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 14, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Onterris Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 23, 2020 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.48 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-lifev = 4.48 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst16.3731
2.01**
αARCH0.0832
1.12
βGARCH0.7961
5.58***
νDF4.4814
0.39

0.796

Persistence

3d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

16.3731
2.01**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0832
1.12
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7961
5.58***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.4814
0.39

Persistence:

0.796

Half-life:

3 days