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V-Lab

Onterris Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

87.93%

decreased by 0.77%

1 Week

86.17%

decreased by 2.53%

1 Month

80.69%

decreased by 8.01%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Onterris Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 23, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.44 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

16.8378
3.50***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0424
5.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9540
58.02***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.4422
1.53

Persistence:

0.954

Half-life:

15 days