V-Lab
Onterris Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
64.93%
decreased by 1.72%
1 Week
64.85%
decreased by 1.80%
1 Month
64.58%
decreased by 2.07%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 23, 2020 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.63 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 16.0759 | 3.34*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0327 | 5.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9668 | 79.08*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.6298 | 1.36 |
Persistence:
0.967
Half-life:
21 days
Other Onterris Inc Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on Equities