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V-Lab

RTX Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

25.40%

increased by 1.30%

1 Week

25.43%

increased by 1.33%

1 Month

25.54%

increased by 1.44%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 11:47 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of RTX Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 59 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 59 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.68 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 59-day half-lifev = 5.68 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run2.8225
1.43
αscore0.0692
8.95***
βpersistence0.9884
111.67***
νDF5.6843
2.11**

0.988

Persistence

59d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

2.8225
1.43
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0692
8.95***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9884
111.67***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.6843
2.11**

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

59 days