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RTX Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

20.34%

decreased by 1.01%

1 Week

20.50%

decreased by 0.85%

1 Month

21.08%

decreased by 0.27%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:31 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of RTX Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 58 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 58 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.32 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 58-day half-lifev = 5.32 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.7346
1.40
αARCH0.0664
8.87***
βGARCH0.9881
106.68***
νDF5.3236
2.26**

0.988

Persistence

58d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.7346
1.40
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0664
8.87***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9881
106.68***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.3236
2.26**

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

58 days