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VenHub Global Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

110.15%

decreased by 21.64%

1 Week

124.52%

decreased by 7.27%

1 Month

168.33%

increased by 36.54%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 11:08 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

All

graph of VenHub Global Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 30, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 92 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.34 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.992, shock half-life ~92 daysv = 4.34 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst943.2109
1.47
αARCH0.2748
4.47***
βGARCH0.9925
232.05***
νDF4.3433
1.55

0.992

Persistence

92d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

943.2109
1.47
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2748
4.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9925
232.05***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.3433
1.55

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

92 days