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V-Lab

VenHub Global Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

212.16%

increased by 49.14%

1 Week

221.10%

increased by 58.08%

1 Month

252.00%

increased by 88.98%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of VenHub Global Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 30, 2026 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 78 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.76 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1,055.9430
5.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2475
18.91***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9912
747.48***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.7580
6.42***

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

78 days