Tingo Group Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026
1 Day
5,485.35%
1 Week
5,479.91%
1 Month
5,458.24%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 12:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 28, 2004 to Oct 19, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 693 trading days (~2.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.44 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 1,373.5861 | 2.04** |
| αscore | 0.0970 | 24.05*** |
| βpersistence | 0.9990 | 2,153.02*** |
| νDF | 2.4363 | 81.12*** |
0.999
Persistence693d
Half-lifeGAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 1,373.5861 | 2.04** |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.0970 | 24.05*** |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9990 | 2,153.02*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.4363 | 81.12*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
693 days
Other Tingo Group Inc Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on Equities