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Tingo Group Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

1,006.51%

decreased by 131.23%

1 Week

1,005.78%

decreased by 131.96%

1 Month

1,002.90%

decreased by 134.84%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 09:30 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Tingo Group Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 28, 2004 to Sep 11, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 693 trading days (~2.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.61 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~693 daysv = 2.61 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1,128.5371
1.98**
αARCH0.1008
23.80***
βGARCH0.9990
2,081.25***
νDF2.6088
52.80***

0.999

Persistence

693d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1,128.5371
1.98**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1008
23.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
2,081.25***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.6088
52.80***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days