V-Lab
Tingo Group Inc EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
1,870.50%
decreased by 52.08%
1 Week
1,902.24%
decreased by 20.34%
1 Month
2,037.54%
increased by 114.96%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 12:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 28, 2004 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 772 trading days (~3.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
EGARCH Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~772 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0253 | 0.40 |
| αARCH | 0.1089 | 3.38*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9991 | 125.82*** |
| γleverage | -0.0887 | -1.02 |
0.999
Persistence772d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0253 | 0.40 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1089 | 3.38*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9991 | 125.82*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0887 | -1.02 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
772 days
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