V-Lab
PepsiCo Inc EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
21.50%
increased by 1.75%
1 Week
21.62%
increased by 1.87%
1 Month
22.10%
increased by 2.35%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 10:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 167% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 167% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0128 | 2.28** |
| αARCH | 0.1328 | 9.94*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9885 | 369.39*** |
| γleverage | -0.0605 | -4.98*** |
0.988
Persistence60d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0128 | 2.28** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1328 | 9.94*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9885 | 369.39*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0605 | -4.98*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
60 days
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