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V-Lab

Microsoft Corp EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

37.69%

decreased by 1.92%

1 Week

37.65%

decreased by 1.96%

1 Month

37.49%

decreased by 2.12%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Microsoft Corp EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 103% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0304
12.27***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1215
28.88***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9818
932.34***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0414
-11.78***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

38 days