V-Lab
Microsoft Corp EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
37.69%
decreased by 1.92%
1 Week
37.65%
decreased by 1.96%
1 Month
37.49%
decreased by 2.12%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 103% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0304 | 12.27*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1215 | 28.88*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9818 | 932.34*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0414 | -11.78*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
38 days
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