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V-Lab
V-Lab

Tingo Group Inc Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026

1 Day

1,659.72%

increased by 62.23%

1 Week

1,822.86%

increased by 225.37%

1 Month

2,364.00%

increased by 766.51%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 12:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tingo Group Inc SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 28, 2004 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1523 trading days (~6.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~1523 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8269
3.68***
αARCH0.1870
5.13***
βGARCH0.8126
21.41***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ10.6248
0.19
γ2-1.0939
-0.28
γ30.8504
0.73
γ4-0.7589
-0.99
γ50.3938
0.56
γ6-0.4386
-0.55
γ72.4812
2.60***
γ8-3.9496
-2.65***
γ93.0318
1.31

1.000

Persistence

1523d

Half-life
τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8269
3.68***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1870
5.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8126
21.41***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ10.6248
0.19
γ2-1.0939
-0.28
γ30.8504
0.73
γ4-0.7589
-0.99
γ50.3938
0.56
γ6-0.4386
-0.55
γ72.4812
2.60***
γ8-3.9496
-2.65***
γ93.0318
1.31

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1523 days