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V-Lab

Tingo Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

1,826.61%

decreased by 86.05%

1 Week

2,106.51%

increased by 193.85%

1 Month

2,234.18%

increased by 321.52%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 09:10 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tingo Group Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 28, 2004 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 114% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1240
2.19**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1417
3.03***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

7.0965
0.13
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8937
0.19
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.1063
0.02

Persistence:

0.195

Half-life:

0 days