V-Lab
Tingo Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026
1 Day
4,879.68%
increased by 2,690.07%
1 Week
5,191.24%
increased by 3,001.63%
1 Month
6,101.93%
increased by 3,912.32%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 09:11 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 28, 2004 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 68% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1804 | 12.13*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3183 | 5.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1232 | 2.34** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.76 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9760 | 3.24*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0240 | 0.07 |
Persistence:
0.560
Half-life:
1 days
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