Skip to main content
V-Lab

Tingo Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026

1 Day

4,879.68%

increased by 2,690.07%

1 Week

5,191.24%

increased by 3,001.63%

1 Month

6,101.93%

increased by 3,912.32%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 09:11 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tingo Group Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 28, 2004 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 68% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1804
12.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3183
5.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1232
2.34**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.76
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.9760
3.24***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0240
0.07

Persistence:

0.560

Half-life:

1 days