V-Lab
Tingo Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
1,802.05%
increased by 31.48%
1 Week
2,024.50%
increased by 253.93%
1 Month
2,141.70%
increased by 371.13%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 12:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 28, 2004 to Aug 28, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 126 | |
| αARCH | 0.1265 | 1.79* |
| βGARCH | 0.0167 | 0.31 |
| γleverage | 0.1349 | 0.68 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 7.2488 | 1.59 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.9116 | 3.52*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0884 | 3.70*** |
0.211
Persistence0d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1265 | 1.79* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0167 | 0.31 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1349 | 0.68 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 7.2488 | 1.59 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9116 | 3.52*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0884 | 3.70*** |
Persistence:
0.211
Half-life:
0 days
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