V-Lab
Tingo Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
1,826.61%
decreased by 86.05%
1 Week
2,106.51%
increased by 193.85%
1 Month
2,234.18%
increased by 321.52%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 09:10 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 28, 2004 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 114% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1240 | 2.19** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1417 | 3.03*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 7.0965 | 0.13 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8937 | 0.19 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.1063 | 0.02 |
Persistence:
0.195
Half-life:
0 days
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