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V-Lab
V-Lab

AT&T Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 22nd, 2026

1 Day

26.94%

decreased by 1.26%

1 Week

27.02%

decreased by 1.18%

1 Month

27.13%

decreased by 1.07%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 21, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of AT&T Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 104% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 104% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow61
αARCH0.0545
5.10***
βGARCH0.8223
36.38***
γleverage0.0566
3.64***
λ₁tau intercept0.0104
1.60
λ₂forecast adj.0.0380
2.64***
λ₃tau persistence0.9580
58.25***

0.905

Persistence

7d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0545
5.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8223
36.38***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0566
3.64***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0104
1.60
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0380
2.64***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9580
58.25***

Persistence:

0.905

Half-life:

7 days