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V-Lab
V-Lab

AT&T Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

25.21%

increased by 0.29%

1 Week

25.61%

increased by 0.69%

1 Month

26.39%

increased by 1.47%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:34 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of AT&T Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 104% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 104% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow61
αARCH0.0544
5.09***
βGARCH0.8227
36.51***
γleverage0.0568
3.66***
λ₁tau intercept0.0104
1.61
λ₂forecast adj.0.0377
2.64***
λ₃tau persistence0.9582
58.75***

0.906

Persistence

7d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0544
5.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8227
36.51***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0568
3.66***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0104
1.61
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0377
2.64***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9582
58.75***

Persistence:

0.906

Half-life:

7 days