Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

AT&T Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 2nd, 2026

1 Day

45.11%

decreased by 2.31%

1 Week

43.40%

decreased by 4.02%

1 Month

39.65%

decreased by 7.77%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 10:43 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/30/2024

to

10/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of AT&T Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 106% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 106% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow61
αARCH0.0527
4.89***
βGARCH0.8210
34.86***
γleverage0.0560
3.63***
λ₁tau intercept0.0106
1.59
λ₂forecast adj.0.0410
2.63***
λ₃tau persistence0.9553
54.72***

0.902

Persistence

7d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0527
4.89***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8210
34.86***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0560
3.63***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0106
1.59
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0410
2.63***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9553
54.72***

Persistence:

0.902

Half-life:

7 days