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V-Lab

Skyline Builders Group HLD Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

105.12%

decreased by 19.48%

1 Week

205.46%

increased by 80.86%

1 Month

1,218.62%

increased by 1,094.02%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:02 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Skyline Builders Group HLD Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 23, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5000
20.45***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0535
1.77*
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-20.48***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.3966
0.33
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1158
1.38
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8842
15.90***

Persistence:

0.303

Half-life:

1 days