V-Lab
Skyline Builders Group HLD Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
103.41%
1 Week
180.93%
1 Month
537.23%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 23, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5000 | 19.46*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0359 | 1.24 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -19.49*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.3202 | 0.27 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1065 | 1.31 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8936 | 16.41*** |
Persistence:
0.286
Half-life:
1 days
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