V-Lab
Skyline Builders Group HLD Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
105.12%
1 Week
205.46%
1 Month
1,218.62%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 23, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5000 | 20.45*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0535 | 1.77* |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -20.48*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.3966 | 0.33 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1158 | 1.38 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8842 | 15.90*** |
Persistence:
0.303
Half-life:
1 days
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