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V-Lab

Skyline Builders Group HLD Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

98.07%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

98.07%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

98.07%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 17, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Skyline Builders Group HLD Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 23, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0227
3.50***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8489
0.36
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-34.7900
-1.34
γ2118.2984
2.63***
γ3-164.9763
-3.23***
γ4106.9188
1.97**
γ5-41.7027
-1.02
γ646.6244
1.35
γ7-42.2044
-1.20
γ811.8208
0.48

Persistence:

0.849

Half-life:

4 days