V-Lab
Skyline Builders Group HLD Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
98.07%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
98.07%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
98.07%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 17, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 23, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0227 | 3.50*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8489 | 0.36 |
Spline Coefficients
K=8
| γ1 | -34.7900 | -1.34 |
| γ2 | 118.2984 | 2.63*** |
| γ3 | -164.9763 | -3.23*** |
| γ4 | 106.9188 | 1.97** |
| γ5 | -41.7027 | -1.02 |
| γ6 | 46.6244 | 1.35 |
| γ7 | -42.2044 | -1.20 |
| γ8 | 11.8208 | 0.48 |
Persistence:
0.849
Half-life:
4 days
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