V-Lab
Skyline Builders Group HLD Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
103.32%
decreased by 41.67%
1 Week
106.87%
decreased by 38.12%
1 Month
107.72%
decreased by 37.27%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 23, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.1104 | 4.40*** |
| αARCH | 0.1695 | 1.71* |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | -34.6545 | -1.01 |
| γ2 | 126.6020 | 2.16** |
| γ3 | -180.4280 | -2.87*** |
| γ4 | 115.1194 | 1.75* |
| γ5 | -42.1460 | -0.81 |
| γ6 | 38.7689 | 0.95 |
| γ7 | -25.6007 | -0.79 |
| γ8 | 2.0484 | 0.07 |
| γ9 | -2.3239 | -0.12 |
0.170
Persistence0d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1104 | 4.40*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1695 | 1.71* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | -34.6545 | -1.01 |
| γ2 | 126.6020 | 2.16** |
| γ3 | -180.4280 | -2.87*** |
| γ4 | 115.1194 | 1.75* |
| γ5 | -42.1460 | -0.81 |
| γ6 | 38.7689 | 0.95 |
| γ7 | -25.6007 | -0.79 |
| γ8 | 2.0484 | 0.07 |
| γ9 | -2.3239 | -0.12 |
Persistence:
0.170
Half-life:
0 days
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