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Osisko Gold Group Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 2nd, 2026

1 Day

56.02%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Week

57.55%

increased by 1.32%

1 Month

61.26%

increased by 5.03%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 10:30 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/30/2024

to

10/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Osisko Gold Group Inc S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 30, 2022 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8958
6.39***
αARCH0.0732
2.22**
βGARCH0.8544
11.95***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0156
-1.02

0.928

Persistence

9d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8958
6.39***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0732
2.22**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8544
11.95***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0156
-1.02

Persistence:

0.928

Half-life:

9 days