V-Lab
Osisko Gold Group Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
64.26%
decreased by 1.50%
1 Week
65.05%
decreased by 0.71%
1 Month
66.82%
increased by 1.06%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 30, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8461 | 6.50*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0753 | 2.12** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8335 | 10.66*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0241 | -1.42 |
Persistence:
0.909
Half-life:
7 days
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