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V-Lab

Osisko Gold Group Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

57.68%

decreased by 1.30%

1 Week

59.48%

increased by 0.50%

1 Month

63.41%

increased by 4.43%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 11:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Osisko Gold Group Inc S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 30, 2022 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8619
6.59***
αARCH0.0756
2.14**
βGARCH0.8335
10.61***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0208
-1.29

0.909

Persistence

7d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8619
6.59***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0756
2.14**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8335
10.61***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0208
-1.29

Persistence:

0.909

Half-life:

7 days