V-Lab
Osisko Gold Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
94.43%
1 Week
82.38%
1 Month
72.52%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 30, 2022 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1731 | 5.92*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5426 | 5.19*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1731 | -5.44*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.8210 | 0.14 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1270 | 0.12 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6962 | 0.31 |
Persistence:
0.629
Half-life:
1 days
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