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V-Lab

Osisko Gold Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

64.42%

decreased by 1.97%

1 Week

64.47%

decreased by 1.92%

1 Month

63.80%

decreased by 2.59%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Osisko Gold Group Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 30, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1534
4.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5462
5.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1534
-3.81***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.7249
0.13
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0790
0.15
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8126
0.62

Persistence:

0.623

Half-life:

1 days