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V-Lab

Osisko Gold Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

94.43%

increased by 35.80%

1 Week

82.38%

increased by 23.75%

1 Month

72.52%

increased by 13.89%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Osisko Gold Group Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 30, 2022 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1731
5.92***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5426
5.19***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1731
-5.44***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.8210
0.14
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1270
0.12
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6962
0.31

Persistence:

0.629

Half-life:

1 days