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Osisko Gold Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

51.61%

decreased by 1.96%

1 Week

53.06%

decreased by 0.51%

1 Month

56.49%

increased by 2.92%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 11:28 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Osisko Gold Group Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 30, 2022 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.1495
2.78***
βGARCH0.5430
1.87*
γleverage-0.1495
-2.89***
λ₁tau intercept2.2323
1.33
λ₂forecast adj.0.1121
1.81*
λ₃tau persistence0.7424
4.63***

0.618

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1495
2.78***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5430
1.87*
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1495
-2.89***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.2323
1.33
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1121
1.81*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7424
4.63***

Persistence:

0.618

Half-life:

1 days