Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Osisko Gold Group Inc Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

55.48%

decreased by 0.78%

1 Week

56.49%

increased by 0.23%

1 Month

58.84%

increased by 2.58%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 11:28 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Osisko Gold Group Inc SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 30, 2022 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8355
5.19***
αARCH0.0766
2.27**
βGARCH0.8415
11.70***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0509
-0.78

0.918

Persistence

8d

Half-life
τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8355
5.19***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0766
2.27**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8415
11.70***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0509
-0.78

Persistence:

0.918

Half-life:

8 days