Osisko Gold Group Inc MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026
1 Day
46.64%
decreased by 1.75%
1 Week
47.19%
decreased by 1.20%
1 Month
49.12%
increased by 0.73%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 10:14 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 30, 2022 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 41 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 41 days.
μ
MEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 41-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.2479 | 0.79 |
| αARCH | 0.1424 | 3.30*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8410 | 32.46*** |
0.983
Persistence41d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2479 | 0.79 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1424 | 3.30*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8410 | 32.46*** |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
41 days
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