V-Lab
Osisko Gold Group Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
63.11%
decreased by 3.02%
1 Week
62.82%
decreased by 3.31%
1 Month
62.56%
decreased by 3.57%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 30, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4.8077 | 12.43*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2572 | 6.99*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5608 | 19.65*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2572 | -6.61*** |
Persistence:
0.689
Half-life:
2 days
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