Osisko Gold Group Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026
1 Day
53.68%
increased by 0.80%
1 Week
57.49%
increased by 4.61%
1 Month
60.60%
increased by 7.72%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 02:04 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 30, 2022 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 4.6502 | 3.17*** |
| αARCH | 0.2575 | 1.76* |
| βGARCH | 0.5643 | 5.09*** |
| γleverage | -0.2575 | -1.67* |
0.693
Persistence2d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4.6502 | 3.17*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2575 | 1.76* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5643 | 5.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2575 | -1.67* |
Persistence:
0.693
Half-life:
2 days
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