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Osisko Gold Group Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

53.68%

increased by 0.80%

1 Week

57.49%

increased by 4.61%

1 Month

60.60%

increased by 7.72%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 02:04 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Osisko Gold Group Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 30, 2022 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst4.6502
3.17***
αARCH0.2575
1.76*
βGARCH0.5643
5.09***
γleverage-0.2575
-1.67*

0.693

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.6502
3.17***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2575
1.76*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5643
5.09***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2575
-1.67*

Persistence:

0.693

Half-life:

2 days