Osisko Gold Group Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
46.81%
increased by 1.04%
1 Week
47.41%
increased by 1.64%
1 Month
49.47%
increased by 3.70%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 11:28 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 30, 2022 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 37 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 37 days.
μ
AMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 37-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.2773 | 3.32*** |
| αARCH | 0.1685 | 4.02*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8364 | 33.03*** |
| γleverage | -0.0473 | -0.69 |
0.981
Persistence37d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2773 | 3.32*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1685 | 4.02*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8364 | 33.03*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0473 | -0.69 |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
37 days
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