V-Lab
Osisko Gold Group Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
61.59%
increased by 7.42%
1 Week
61.65%
increased by 7.48%
1 Month
61.89%
increased by 7.72%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 30, 2022 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 42% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3004 | 13.60*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1878 | 16.83*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8213 | 121.99*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0557 | -3.09*** |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
36 days
Other Osisko Gold Group Inc Analyses
Other Asy. MEM Analyses on Equities