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Osisko Gold Group Inc EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

50.72%

decreased by 1.10%

1 Week

54.71%

increased by 2.89%

1 Month

60.00%

increased by 8.18%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:22 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Osisko Gold Group Inc EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 30, 2022 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 329% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: Positive returns increase volatility 329% more than negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.5936
2.14**
αARCH0.2007
2.49**
βGARCH0.7838
7.82***
γleverage0.1249
2.04**

0.784

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5936
2.14**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2007
2.49**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7838
7.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1249
2.04**

Persistence:

0.784

Half-life:

3 days