V-Lab
Osisko Gold Group Inc EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
50.72%
decreased by 1.10%
1 Week
54.71%
increased by 2.89%
1 Month
60.00%
increased by 8.18%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:22 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 30, 2022 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 329% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Inverse leverage: Positive returns increase volatility 329% more than negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.5936 | 2.14** |
| αARCH | 0.2007 | 2.49** |
| βGARCH | 0.7838 | 7.82*** |
| γleverage | 0.1249 | 2.04** |
0.784
Persistence3d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5936 | 2.14** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2007 | 2.49** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7838 | 7.82*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1249 | 2.04** |
Persistence:
0.784
Half-life:
3 days
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