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V-Lab

Smith Douglas Homes Corp EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

55.75%

increased by 0.35%

1 Week

55.53%

increased by 0.13%

1 Month

54.75%

decreased by 0.65%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:29 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Smith Douglas Homes Corp EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 11, 2024 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 40 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 40 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 40-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0392
0.00
αARCH-0.0755
0.00
βGARCH0.9828
1.35
γleverage-0.0244
0.00

0.983

Persistence

40d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0392
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

-0.0755
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9828
1.35
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0244
0.00

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

40 days