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V-Lab

Smith Douglas Homes Corp Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

56.45%

decreased by 1.37%

1 Week

55.75%

decreased by 2.07%

1 Month

53.24%

decreased by 4.58%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Smith Douglas Homes Corp APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 11, 2024 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 41% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.69 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0227
16.72***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0357
11.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9578
291.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2454
4.23***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.6925
7.10***

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

50 days