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V-Lab

MindForge Inc Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026

1 Day

242.07%

decreased by 7.14%

1 Week

233.22%

decreased by 15.99%

1 Month

209.17%

decreased by 40.04%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 09:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of MindForge Inc APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 29, 2024 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. The volatility power δ = 1.15 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-lifeδ = 1.15 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8816
0.87
αARCH0.3181
3.99***
βGARCH0.6819
7.87***
γleverage-0.0553
-0.44
δpower1.1498
2.04**

0.939

Persistence

11d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8816
0.87
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3181
3.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6819
7.87***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0553
-0.44
δ

power

Transformation power

1.1498
2.04**

Persistence:

0.939

Half-life:

11 days