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V-Lab

Bleichroeder Acquisition Corp II Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

4.67%

decreased by 0.31%

1 Week

4.98%

increased by 0.00%

1 Month

5.45%

increased by 0.47%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Bleichroeder Acquisition Corp II APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 129% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 0.96 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0626
2.86***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3109
11.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5874
14.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.4079
-9.94***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.9587
5.48***

Persistence:

0.834

Half-life:

4 days