Skip to main content
V-Lab

Bleichroeder Acquisition Corp II Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

18.93%

increased by 0.03%

1 Week

18.99%

increased by 0.09%

1 Month

19.24%

increased by 0.34%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Bleichroeder Acquisition Corp II S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 218 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2390
0.06
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9968
0.15
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-693.3413
-0.03
γ2504.1164
0.04
γ375.9617
0.01
γ4614.2240
0.24
γ5-873.2142
-0.46
γ6943.8980
0.93
γ7-1,454.8277
-1.42
γ81,163.6840
1.62
γ9160.9724
0.17
γ10-696.1522
-1.05

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

218 days