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V-Lab

Bleichroeder Acquisition Corp II Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

4.56%

increased by 0.01%

1 Week

4.57%

increased by 0.02%

1 Month

4.64%

increased by 0.09%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:31 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Bleichroeder Acquisition Corp II S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2026 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 4006 trading days (~15.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6654
1.69*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9998
9.20***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-597.0485
-1.42
γ2641.4023
1.00
γ321.1814
0.05
γ4112.3822
0.42
γ5-595.1466
-2.88***
γ6626.2058
2.61***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

4006 days