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V-Lab
V-Lab

NextBoat Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

49.74%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

52.48%

increased by 2.74%

1 Month

53.09%

increased by 3.35%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

All

graph of NextBoat Inc S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 13, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.7239
4.19***
αARCH0.1283
1.34
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-10.6487
-2.69***
γ214.4950
2.94***

0.128

Persistence

0d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7239
4.19***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1283
1.34
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-10.6487
-2.69***
γ214.4950
2.94***

Persistence:

0.128

Half-life:

0 days