V-Lab
NextBoat Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
54.50%
decreased by 10.51%
1 Week
55.73%
decreased by 9.28%
1 Month
56.00%
decreased by 9.01%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 12:11 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 13, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.6899 | 3.96*** |
| αARCH | 0.1221 | 1.21 |
| βGARCH | 0.0025 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -12.3858 | -2.62*** |
| γ2 | 16.5853 | 2.84*** |
0.125
Persistence0d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6899 | 3.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1221 | 1.21 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0025 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -12.3858 | -2.62*** |
| γ2 | 16.5853 | 2.84*** |
Persistence:
0.125
Half-life:
0 days
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