NextBoat Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
65.64%
decreased by 0.38%
1 Week
71.04%
increased by 5.02%
1 Month
78.07%
increased by 12.05%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 13, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 4.9297 | 1.13 |
| αARCH | 0.2218 | 1.04 |
| βGARCH | 0.7037 | 4.79*** |
| γleverage | -0.2218 | -0.99 |
0.815
Persistence3d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4.9297 | 1.13 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2218 | 1.04 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7037 | 4.79*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2218 | -0.99 |
Persistence:
0.815
Half-life:
3 days
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