Leonardo Drs Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
47.76%
decreased by 1.62%
1 Week
51.49%
increased by 2.11%
1 Month
62.52%
increased by 13.14%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 09:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 1, 1993 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9755 | 19.84*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1543 | 19.86*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8097 | 141.56*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0224 | 1.60 |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
28 days
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