V-Lab
Leonardo Drs Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026
1 Day
40.68%
decreased by 0.96%
1 Week
45.24%
increased by 3.60%
1 Month
58.20%
increased by 16.56%
Analysis last updated: Monday, September 14, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 1, 1993 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 28-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.9546 | 4.94*** |
| αARCH | 0.1547 | 5.00*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8108 | 35.70*** |
| γleverage | 0.0210 | 0.38 |
0.976
Persistence28d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9546 | 4.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1547 | 5.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8108 | 35.70*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0210 | 0.38 |
Persistence:
0.976
Half-life:
28 days
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