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Leonardo Drs Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

43.37%

increased by 5.09%

1 Week

45.91%

increased by 7.63%

1 Month

53.83%

increased by 15.55%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:26 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Leonardo Drs Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 1993 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 32 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 32 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.46 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 32-day half-lifev = 3.46 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst28.9385
1.36
αARCH0.1042
11.12***
βGARCH0.9786
62.87***
νDF3.4646
5.83***

0.979

Persistence

32d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

28.9385
1.36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1042
11.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9786
62.87***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.4646
5.83***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

32 days