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V-Lab

Leonardo Drs Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

43.65%

decreased by 1.26%

1 Week

46.01%

increased by 1.10%

1 Month

53.30%

increased by 8.39%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 10:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Leonardo Drs Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 1993 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

96
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1709
22.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6943
61.93***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0043
-0.43
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.8402
3.52***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8465
5.47***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.863

Half-life:

5 days