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V-Lab

Leonardo Drs Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

37.11%

decreased by 1.11%

1 Week

40.27%

increased by 2.05%

1 Month

45.15%

increased by 6.93%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Leonardo Drs Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 1993 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow96
αARCH0.1708
5.77***
βGARCH0.6978
17.00***
γleverage-0.0065
-0.16
λ₁tau intercept3.4956
2.88***
λ₂forecast adj.0.8599
7.06***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.865

Persistence

5d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

96
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1708
5.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6978
17.00***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0065
-0.16
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.4956
2.88***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8599
7.06***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.865

Half-life:

5 days