V-Lab
Kyntra Bio Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
43.20%
decreased by 1.36%
1 Week
53.31%
increased by 8.75%
1 Month
61.43%
increased by 16.87%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 14, 2014 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 385% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1300 | 8.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2673 | 9.47*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 13.78*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.4863 | 0.97 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1375 | 1.16 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8204 | 5.30*** |
Persistence:
0.647
Half-life:
2 days
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