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V-Lab

Kyntra Bio Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026

1 Day

43.12%

decreased by 3.25%

1 Week

53.15%

increased by 6.78%

1 Month

62.03%

increased by 15.66%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kyntra Bio Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 14, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 391% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1278
8.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2688
9.41***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
13.93***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.4200
0.99
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1447
1.20
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8147
5.26***

Persistence:

0.647

Half-life:

2 days