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V-Lab

Kyntra Bio Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

43.20%

decreased by 1.36%

1 Week

53.31%

increased by 8.75%

1 Month

61.43%

increased by 16.87%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kyntra Bio Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 14, 2014 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 385% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1300
8.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2673
9.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
13.78***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.4863
0.97
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1375
1.16
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8204
5.30***

Persistence:

0.647

Half-life:

2 days