V-Lab
Kyntra Bio Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026
1 Day
43.12%
decreased by 3.25%
1 Week
53.15%
increased by 6.78%
1 Month
62.03%
increased by 15.66%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 14, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 391% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1278 | 8.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2688 | 9.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 13.93*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.4200 | 0.99 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1447 | 1.20 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8147 | 5.26*** |
Persistence:
0.647
Half-life:
2 days
Other Kyntra Bio Inc Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equities