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V-Lab

Kyntra Bio Inc Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

33.78%

decreased by 1.17%

1 Week

35.76%

increased by 0.81%

1 Month

37.26%

increased by 2.31%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kyntra Bio Inc SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 14, 2014 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8889
2.51**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1549
2.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5150
4.12***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.0263
0.03
γ2-0.0175
-0.01
γ3-0.0660
-0.06
γ4-0.0228
-0.02
γ51.0086
0.96
γ6-2.4509
-2.02**
γ73.0205
2.70***
γ8-2.2325
-2.40**
γ90.3247
0.36
γ100.0330
0.04

Persistence:

0.670

Half-life:

2 days