V-Lab
Kyntra Bio Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
45.00%
decreased by 1.16%
1 Week
46.08%
decreased by 0.08%
1 Month
49.81%
increased by 3.65%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 14, 2014 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 47 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 47 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.98 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 21.4672 | 3.36*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0576 | 21.86*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9852 | 219.96*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.9829 | 7.84*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
47 days
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