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Kyntra Bio Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

55.28%

decreased by 2.58%

1 Week

55.84%

decreased by 2.02%

1 Month

57.85%

decreased by 0.01%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 10:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kyntra Bio Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 14, 2014 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 49 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 49 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 49-day half-lifev = 4.00 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst21.1104
0.85
αARCH0.0557
5.62***
βGARCH0.9860
59.05***
νDF3.9990
1.98**

0.986

Persistence

49d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

21.1104
0.85
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0557
5.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9860
59.05***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.9990
1.98**

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

49 days