V-Lab
Kyntra Bio Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
65.80%
decreased by 2.02%
1 Week
67.41%
decreased by 0.41%
1 Month
72.68%
increased by 4.86%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 10:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 14, 2014 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 30 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 30 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 30-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.8328 | 1.98** |
| αARCH | 0.0453 | 2.28** |
| βGARCH | 0.8947 | 31.19*** |
| γleverage | 0.0737 | 1.81* |
0.977
Persistence30d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8328 | 1.98** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0453 | 2.28** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8947 | 31.19*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0737 | 1.81* |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
30 days
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