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Niki BioSolutions Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

96.94%

increased by 2.19%

1 Week

106.27%

increased by 11.52%

1 Month

132.39%

increased by 37.64%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 09:58 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Niki BioSolutions Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2018 to Oct 2, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 23-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
1.91*
αARCH0.1561
1.18
βGARCH0.7689
14.03***
γleverage0.0898
0.28

0.970

Persistence

23d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.91*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1561
1.18
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7689
14.03***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0898
0.28

Persistence:

0.970

Half-life:

23 days