V-Lab
Niki BioSolutions Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
109.31%
decreased by 4.93%
1 Week
118.11%
increased by 3.87%
1 Month
144.83%
increased by 30.59%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2018 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 7.38*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1619 | 4.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7640 | 56.90*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1083 | 1.25 |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
34 days
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