V-Lab
Niki BioSolutions Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
105.80%
decreased by 7.37%
1 Week
114.47%
increased by 1.30%
1 Month
139.99%
increased by 26.82%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2018 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 7.49*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1576 | 4.70*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7668 | 56.52*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1011 | 1.22 |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
27 days
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