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Niki BioSolutions Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

150.38%

increased by 43.98%

1 Week

154.40%

increased by 48.00%

1 Month

167.11%

increased by 60.71%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:14 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Niki BioSolutions Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2018 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 25 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 25 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 25-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
1.90*
αARCH0.1576
1.18
βGARCH0.7677
14.03***
γleverage0.0938
0.29

0.972

Persistence

25d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.90*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1576
1.18
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7677
14.03***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0938
0.29

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

25 days