Niki BioSolutions Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
144.83%
decreased by 15.03%
1 Week
149.81%
decreased by 10.05%
1 Month
165.70%
increased by 5.84%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2018 to Oct 23, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 28-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 1.87* |
| αARCH | 0.1601 | 1.18 |
| βGARCH | 0.7647 | 14.42*** |
| γleverage | 0.1020 | 0.31 |
0.976
Persistence28d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.87* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1601 | 1.18 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7647 | 14.42*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1020 | 0.31 |
Persistence:
0.976
Half-life:
28 days
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