V-Lab
Niki BioSolutions Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
92.29%
decreased by 11.09%
1 Week
100.50%
decreased by 2.88%
1 Month
121.27%
increased by 17.89%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2018 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 3.51*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2907 | 4.03*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6479 | 16.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0224 | 0.15 |
Persistence:
0.950
Half-life:
13 days
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