V-Lab
Niki BioSolutions Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
133.58%
increased by 17.25%
1 Week
136.48%
increased by 20.15%
1 Month
144.72%
increased by 28.39%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2018 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 13.91*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2949 | 16.24*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6469 | 63.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0214 | 0.56 |
Persistence:
0.952
Half-life:
14 days
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