V-Lab
Niki BioSolutions Inc MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026
1 Day
128.46%
increased by 4.94%
1 Week
131.72%
increased by 8.20%
1 Month
140.82%
increased by 17.30%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:14 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2018 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days.
μ
MEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 14-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 2.66*** |
| αARCH | 0.2951 | 4.92*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6556 | 17.14*** |
0.951
Persistence14d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.66*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2951 | 4.92*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6556 | 17.14*** |
Persistence:
0.951
Half-life:
14 days
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