Jaguar Uranium Corp MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
85.74%
decreased by 1.14%
1 Week
88.88%
increased by 2.00%
1 Month
94.47%
increased by 7.59%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 11:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 10, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.27 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1240 | 1.42 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7470 | 16.84*** |
Persistence:
0.871
Half-life:
5 days
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