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V-Lab

Jaguar Uranium Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

56.95%

decreased by 4.62%

1 Week

75.92%

increased by 14.35%

1 Month

125.87%

increased by 64.30%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 11:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Jaguar Uranium Corp GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 10, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
2.82***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3710
6.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4903
13.67***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2774
1.92*

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-