V-Lab
Keel Infrastructure Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
123.50%
decreased by 5.81%
1 Week
119.88%
decreased by 9.43%
1 Month
112.24%
decreased by 17.07%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 21, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 8.28*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0698 | 5.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8166 | 46.58*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0026 | -0.10 |
Persistence:
0.885
Half-life:
6 days
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