V-Lab
Keel Infrastructure Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
106.93%
increased by 1.15%
1 Week
106.22%
increased by 0.44%
1 Month
104.79%
decreased by 0.99%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 21, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 8.02*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0652 | 5.71*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8222 | 45.34*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0102 | -0.45 |
Persistence:
0.882
Half-life:
6 days
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