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V-Lab

Keel Infrastructure Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

102.73%

increased by 7.20%

1 Week

101.58%

increased by 6.05%

1 Month

99.57%

increased by 4.04%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:14 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Keel Infrastructure Corp S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 21, 2021 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0995
10.84***
αARCH0.0694
2.49**
βGARCH0.7837
9.22***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0080
1.12

0.853

Persistence

4d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0995
10.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0694
2.49**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7837
9.22***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0080
1.12

Persistence:

0.853

Half-life:

4 days